What is KPoz Sports?
Posted by Mike Blake Fri, 05 Dec 2008 13:37:00 GMT
The purpose of KPoz sports is to demonstrate a sports rating system that is completely objective. The KPoz model satisfies the required properties of statistical ranking models: transparency, verifiability, and accuracy. The result is that KPoz ratings and point spreads are often more accurate than the prevailing systems. So what does this get us?
Alternative Rankings
The two prevailing Rankings in the NCAA, The BCS standings, and the AP Top 25 are based partly on emotion and human influence. Everyone respects an unbeaten record, but sometimes that’s the result of an easier schedule.
KPoz NCAA Football Rankings have Texas at number one this week. The other two have them at number 3. So how do we know who’s right? Head to head matchups.
Alternative Spreads
The only way to know for sure when a team is better than another is a game. KPoz computes point spreads for upcoming games based on the rankings. When the KPoz spread is signigicantly different than the prevailing spread, KPoz really shines. Take the NFL Office Pool Picks each week and pick the top 5 games whose spreads are the most different than published spreads. You can get all this data in spreadsheet format as well from the Football Statistics page. Here you can compare to other spreads, sort, then make your picks. You’ll be surprised.
