Martinicity: Tag kpoz Mike Blake tag:martinicity.net,2005:Typo Typo 2008-12-21T15:36:49+00:00 Mike Blake urn:uuid:346bee45-3935-437c-b898-0e5d37ff5982 2008-12-05T13:37:00+00:00 2008-12-21T15:36:49+00:00 What is KPoz Sports? <p>The purpose of <a href="http://kpozsports.com">KPoz sports</a> is to demonstrate a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sports_rating_system">sports rating system</a> that is completely objective. The KPoz model satisfies the required properties of statistical ranking models: transparency, verifiability, and accuracy. The result is that KPoz ratings and point spreads are often more accurate than the prevailing systems. So what does this get us?</p> <h3>Alternative Rankings</h3> <p>The two prevailing Rankings in the <span class="caps">NCAA</span>, The <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/rankingsindex"><span class="caps">BCS</span> standings, and the AP Top 25</a> are based partly on emotion and human influence. Everyone respects an unbeaten record, but sometimes that&#8217;s the result of an easier schedule.</p> <p>KPoz <a href="http://kpozsports.com/rankings.php?league=NCAAFB"><span class="caps">NCAA</span> Football Rankings</a> have Texas at number one this week. The other two have them at number 3. So how do we know who&#8217;s right? Head to head matchups.</p> <h3>Alternative Spreads</h3> <p>The only way to know for sure when a team is better than another is a game. KPoz computes point spreads for upcoming games based on the rankings. When the KPoz spread is signigicantly different than the prevailing spread, KPoz really shines. Take the <a href="http://kpozsports.com/officepool.php?league=NCAAFB"><span class="caps">NFL</span> Office Pool Picks</a> each week and pick the top 5 games whose spreads are the most different than published spreads. You can get all this data in spreadsheet format as well from the <a href="http://www.kpozsports.com/downloads.php">Football Statistics</a> page. Here you can compare to other spreads, sort, then make your picks. You&#8217;ll be surprised.</p>